Friday, November 9, 2007

Thoughts for EPL weekend 10 - 13th Nov

Liverpool : 4-1-6
Home : 1-0-4 (LWLLL)
Away : 3-1-2 (WWL-WL)

ATS Analysis
Liverpool resume their EPL challenge at home to Fulham after a confidence-boosting result in Europe. The 8-0 mauling of Besiktas is the largest margin of victory in CL history and all Reds supporters will see that result as a possible turning-point to kick-start Liverpool's domestic challenge again. Fulham travel to Anfield with no clear chance of upsetting the Reds.

ATS Take : Take Liverpool to build on their Home ATS, which has been woeful this campaign (1 win in 5). I'm tipping Liverpool to win by at least a 2-goal winning margin.


Chelsea : 5-1-6
Home : 1-0-4 (LLLLW)
Away : 4-1-2 (-WLLWWW)

ATS Analysis
Lampard & Drogba's return to first-team action has helped restore confidence in a Chelsea side which has returned to winning ways in recent weeks. Jose Mourinho will always be remembered as the manager who brought Chelsea their first Premership in 50 years. The new men at the helm, Avram Grant and Ten Cate have done well in their first ten games in charge, infusing a new attacking flair to Chelsea's play. The next ten will determine how Chelsea's season will finish. Going by the first 10 matches with 8 wins from 9, their form guide looks good.

Everton travel to Stamford Bridge in no short of confidence themselves, have gone a winning streak since the 1-2 loss at Goodison to Liverpool. They have racked up impressive wins at home and in Europe since, therefore an entertaining clash at Stamford Bridge awaits the neutrals.

ATS Take : DNB. Whilst it might be tempting to back Chelsea on the -1.5 handicap, I do feel that Everton will be up for this one.




Arsenal : 7-0-4
Home : 4-0-3 (LWWWLWL)
Away : 3-0-1 (LWWW)

ATS Analysis
For the die-hard Gunner fans, this has been a season to remember so far. Topping the Premiership in November and qualifying for the knock-out stage in CL. One interesting point to note though, the Gunners are into November now and history has it that Gunners for some strange reason, tend to not do well in November. Their results in November so far have been a come-from-behind 2-2 win at home to MU, and an away 0-0 draw in Slavia Prague. A coincidence? I think not.

ATS Take : Take Reading on the handicap. This is my contrarian opinion for the weekend. Its November and Gunners have already won 3 on the trot in their Away ATS, and their last two matches have been ATS losses (MU & Slavia Prague)

Manchester United : 7-1-4
Home : 4-0-2 (LWLWWW)
Away : 3-1-2 (LLW-WW)

ATS Analysis
Even if Alex Ferguson retires tomorrow, his 21-year tenure and achievements at Old Trafford will be enough to get him a place in the Hall of Fame. MU are currently in a purple patch, with 6 ATS wins in the Premiership and 4 ATS win in CL. Cumulatively, that's a 10-1-0 record. Very impressive by any standards. However, they entertain a Blackburn side which are also on an amazing winning steak themselves. 7 wins on the trot, and their last EPL away result was a hard-fought 2-1 win at White Hart Lane.

ATS Take : DNB or Take Blackburn on the handicap. My ATS analysis is similar to that of the Chelsea-Everton match. Whilst both MU and Chelsea have been red hot, they opponents are no slouches either. Blackburn will be up for this one.

EPL Betting : ATS Recap through Week 11 (3 - 4th Nov)

After a good midweek of results for the English teams in Europe, the focus now returns back to the domestic league where footie action resumes again with 3 fixtures on Saturday, and another 6 on Sunday, with Reading taking on Arsenal as the Monday Night Football fixture.

Due to personal and work committments, it has been 6 weeks since my last post on 22nd Sept, and I apologise for that. Eversince then, the ATS system has taken shape nicely too with some very strong trends developing.

To recap, the current ATS records through week 12 for the BIG FOUR teams in England are presented below, with the respective home/away form guides shown in brackets (most recent record on the right)

Legend
W : Win ATS
L : Loss ATS
- = Push ATS

Liverpool : 4-1-6
Home : 1-0-4 (LWLL)
Away : 3-1-2 (WWL-WL)

Chelsea : 5-1-6
Home : 1-0-4 (LLLLW)
Away : 4-1-2 (-WLLWWW)

Arsenal : 7-0-4
Home : 4-0-3 (LWWWLWL)
Away : 3-0-1 (LWWW)

Manchester United : 7-1-4
Home : 4-0-2 (LWLWWW)
Away : 3-1-2 (LLW-WW)